Election Games 2008
The election has happened(!)
Most of the results are in and, somewhat surprisingly, this program's "Issues not speculation" simulation was a pretty good model for the final results. It was correct on forty three states for about 86% accuracy. If McCain loses North Carolina that might drop a bit more.
It was wrong in giving a few southern state to Obama that he didn't get. It also missed what seems to be the "good neighbor" result for Obama in Indiana. The simulation didn't give McCain his home state wihich was a frequent problem for some reason, the "McCain home state" scenario didn't overcome it here. Missouri and North Carolina were just close, what can you do?
The simulation result was exactly right for Obama's 52% of the popular vote and close as well on the electoral vote.
You might remember, from the documentation, that I thought one thing the "Issue not speculation" simulation demonstrated was how widely varying electoral results could follow from close popular vote results. I'd say a two thirds electoral victory is somewhat disproportionate to the 52% popular vote lead.
The main reason for that I'd say is that the Republicans only captured one state with more than 20 electoral votes, that being Texas. The Democrats got California, Florida, Illinois, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York that I'm immediately thinking of. For future success you would have to assume the Republicans are going to want to figure out how they can extend their influence beyond the Western and Southern states.
I intend to try to come up with more political related software. At least a final version with the new results included.
Thank you for your interest to this point.
This is the 2008 Presidential election simulation software that the media and the politicians don't want you to know about.
Sunday Sudoku Solver
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